H ere's where Tammy lies today . Hurricane Tammy Affected Areas ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is just east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has reinforced decently because Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an uncommon place for a typhoon to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy must turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be an issue for the continental United States.
The route northward far from the Caribbean has actually become less particular. Tammy was at first anticipated to be caught by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm might drift around in between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for a long time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) became a large and extremely effective cyclone that triggered enormous damage and significant loss of life. It is the costliest hurricane to ever hit the United States, surpassing the record formerly held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Hurricane Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Hurricane Katrina was because of flooding caused by engineering flaws in the flood security system, particularly the levee around the city of New Orleans. Ultimately, 80% of the city, as well as big locations in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Cyclone cautions have actually now been provided for a number of islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests typhoon conditions are expected in some of these locations. You can see the current cautions and watches in the map listed below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread throughout the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through at least early Sunday in some areas.
Rainfall totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally approximately 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (in your area up to 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands could see 1 to 2 inches of rainfall (locally up to 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could trigger flooding and mudslides in a few of these areas.
Norma, now a Category 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is expected to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Hurricane Center said.
Flying Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and typhoon and conditions were occurring over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the typhoon center.
Norma is anticipated to be a little weaker by the time it strikes land, but it still will be a cyclone that could bring dangerous conditions to a tourist-friendly region that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the typhoon center stated.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Classification 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually set off hurricane cautions for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island countries and areas in between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a hazard to the US.
In the Atlantic, Tammy kept maximum continual winds of 85 mph and was centered about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Classification 1 cyclone was located about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the cyclone center said.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are unusual for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd hurricane to form this far southeast in the Atlantic because 1900, according to hurricane professional Michael Lowry.
It's also the latest-forming typhoon in this part of the Atlantic considering that 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research study scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Cyclone specialists formerly warned hurricanes could form in uncommon locations later in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be one of the storm's most serious risks and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rain overalls for the Leeward Islands are expected to be 4 to 8 inches, but could reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain establishes. Rain needs to be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and United States Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is most likely.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just 2 names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the cyclone center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy